Nick Ottens

Freelance analyst, editor, reporter

Newt Gingrich Has Imploded, Iowa in Disarray

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Wasn’t this supposed to be a two man race? Now look at the Iowa polls: it’s Mitt Romney versus Ron Paul. Gingrich is nowhere to be found. I don’t mean to be schmuck but I told you so.

Let’s put the Iowa polls in a bit of perspective: Romney hasn’t campaigned in Iowa at all yet he’s on top of the field and Paul is not going to be the nominee. (Surely some Paul fanatic will find this post and claim in the comments that he’s actually, somehow the most viable contender. He’s not. Ron Paul is not going to be president. I’m sorry.)

So in other words, Iowa doesn’t make any sense right now. The socially conservative candidates—Rick Perry, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum—are vying for third place when they “should” be on top.

Bear in mind, the polls aren’t just very volatile; they’re not necessarily indicative of what will happen on caucus day. The caucuses are such a ridiculously quaint institution that really anyone could emerge as the victor January 3.

Which is why we love it so much.

Author: Nick Ottens

Nick Ottens is an historian from the Netherlands who researched Muslim revivalist movements and terrorism in nineteenth century Arabia, British India and the Sudan. He also studied the history of transatlantic relations and is a contributing analyst with Wikistrat. Nick writes about international relations for the Atlantic Sentinel.

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