Nick Ottens

Freelance analyst, editor, reporter

Italian prime minister Silvio Berlusconi arrives for a G20 summit in Cannes, France, November 2, 2011

Berlusconi to Resign? Be Careful What You Wish For

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The whole world seems to be clamoring for Silvio Berlusconi’s resignation but has anyone stopped to wonder what’s next? Italy’s fiscal and economic predicaments won’t go away if Berlusconi leaves the stage. Certainly, its borrowing costs won’t drop overnight as the long term outlook for Italy is still dire.

There’s also the political consequences to worry about. Berlusconi consolidated the right after the christian democrats’ demise in the 1990s. There’s never been another conservative leader in Italy for almost twenty years. The country’s political landscape is notoriously splintered. Especially on the left — which is now likely to win the the next election — there’s never been a stable coalition, let alone a stable government.

So I urge readers to be careful what they wish for at the Sentinel today. Berlusconi wasn’t good for Italy but for now, there’s no one to replace him.

Author: Nick Ottens

Nick Ottens is an historian from the Netherlands who researched Muslim revivalist movements and terrorism in nineteenth century Arabia, British India and the Sudan. He has been published in Asia Times Online, Elsevier and The Seoul Times and is a contributing analyst for the geostrategic consultancy Wikistrat.

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